Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) recently sold equities worth Rs 4,329.79 crore on Monday,
reflecting continued pressure on Indian stocks. Despite this, the Indian stock market managed a
significant comeback on November 5, supported by increased buying activity in sectors like
banking, metals, and other prominent industries.
Analysts point to expectations of a consumption revival in the second half of the fiscal year as a
key reason for the uplift in sentiment. The anticipation of China’s upcoming economic stimulus
further boosted metal stocks, which recorded solid gains.
The BSE Sensex rose 694.39 points (0.88%) to settle at 79,476.63, achieving an intraday high
of 79,523.13. Similarly, the NSE Nifty increased by 217.95 points (0.91%) to close at 24,213.30.
Factors Driving the Market Rally
According to Vinod Nair, Head of Research at Geojit Financial Services, the recent rise in
domestic manufacturing data and a potential revival in consumption during H2 of the fiscal year
play crucial roles in stabilizing market sentiment. Metal stocks, especially, have led this surge,
spurred by the prospect of substantial economic measures from China, anticipated this week.
Market Decline Amid Global Concerns
Earlier in the day, market indices showed a downward trend as FIIs continued their sell-offs.
Additionally, cautious investor sentiment prevailed ahead of key events, including the US
Presidential election and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming decision on interest rates. During the
morning session, the Sensex touched a low of 78,296.70, while the Nifty fell to 23,842.75.
Global Market Volatility and Its Effect on Indian Stocks
With the US elections underway, global equity markets have experienced heightened
fluctuations. The Indian stock market mirrored this global trend, with the Sensex recording a
steep fall of approximately 1,500 points during intraday trading on November 4. Sheetal
Malpani, Chief Investment Officer at Tamohara, highlighted a trend of capital moving back to the
US, bolstered by a strengthening dollar, partly due to market speculation favoring a Trump
victory.
Persistent FII Outflows Impacting Market Stability
October saw one of the highest levels of foreign outflows from Indian equities, with FIIs
withdrawing nearly Rs 94,000 crore, marking a record month for equity outflows. This trend has
carried over into November, as evidenced by Monday’s Rs 4,329.79 crore in FII sales.
Potential Challenges from US Trade Policies
The US election outcome could further shape emerging markets, with Donald Trump’s tariff
policies presenting challenges, particularly for countries in Asia. While China remains a primary
focus, India could also feel the effects of a more protectionist trade stance. Trump’s earlier
restrictions on high-tech exports to China and tax cuts at home impacted global markets and
could put additional pressure on emerging economies like India.
The Indian stock market’s recent performance highlights resilience in a challenging global
landscape. Despite persistent FII outflows and political uncertainties, investor optimism around
domestic growth and potential external support—especially from China—continues to buoy the
market. As events unfold in the US election and policy decisions come into focus, the Indian market will likely respond to both global and domestic developments, maintaining an
environment of cautious optimism.